The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned that about
190,000 people in Africa could die of Coronavirus in the first year of the
pandemic, if containment of the disease fails.
In a new study carried out by the agency's regional office
in Brazzaville, it was found that between 83,000 and 190,000 could die and 29
to 44 million be infected during the period. The research is based on
prediction modelling and covers 47 countries with a total population of one
billion.
AFP reported that though spread of the virus has been slow
across the continent which has not yet recorded the soaring number of
infections or deaths seen in Europe, the United States and other places,
experts have consistently warned that Africa is particularly vulnerable to an
outbreak, due to weak health infrastructure, high rates of poverty, numerous
roiling conflicts and a proven susceptibility to previous epidemics.
The statement released by the UN agency on Thursday reads in
part;
“The model predicts the observed slower rate of
transmission, lower age of people with severe disease and lower mortality rates
compared to what is seen in the most affected countries in the rest of the
world.
“The lower rate of transmission, however, suggests a more
prolonged outbreak over a few years.”
WHO Africa Director Matshidiso Moeti added;
“While COVID-19 likely won’t spread as exponentially in
Africa as it has elsewhere in the world, it likely will smoulder in
transmission hotspots”.
“COVID-19 could become a fixture in our lives for the next
several years unless a proactive approach is taken by many governments in the
region. We need to test, trace, isolate and treat.”
Africa has so far recorded 53,334 cases and 2,065 fatalities
— out of a global death toll of nearly 267,000
